Rob Martinez, Shipware--UPS to Increase Fuel Surcharges on All Products Effective Feb 2, 2015
In spite of plummeting oil prices, UPS just changed the tables used to calculate fuel surcharges resulting in yet another rate increase for shippers.  New, higher fuel surcharges for UPS Air, International and Ground products will change effective Feb 2, 2015.
You didn't miss the UPS memo.  The corporate email didn't go to your junk folder.  Your UPS Sales Rep didn't forget to call.
There was no announcement.  UPS simply updated the tables and posted to the website overnight.
Can they do that?
Well, they just did.  When you ship with UPS, you are agreeing with all terms and conditions in its service guide at the time of shipping, which is subject to change anytime without notice. 
Even customers under term contract agreements are impacted.  99.9% of shippers do not have specific fuel surcharge tables written into their contracts.
Why would UPS do this?  Are fuel costs coming down?  Didn't UPS just take a huge rate increase again on December 29, 2014 with some service/weight/zone configurations increasing 5-10%?  Didn't they also just change to dimensional pricing for all Ground products, resulting in average increases of 17% as reported in The Wall Street Journal?
Yes, yes and yes.
In my mind, the latest UPS action is a pure money grab.  They are raising fuel surcharges because they can.  And most of us will pay it.  In fact, most shippers will never be aware they are paying more!
How much more?  Table 1 reflects modeled examples of the increase for UPS Air and International products.
 

Table 1
 

UPS Air & International Fuel Surcharges
If fuel is 2014 2015 Difference
$1.95 5.50% 5.75% 0.25%
$2.03 5.50% 6.25% 0.75%
$2.10 6.00% 6.50% 0.50%
$2.18 6.50% 7.00% 0.50%
$2.25 7.00% 7.25% 0.25%
$2.33 7.50% 7.50% 0.00%

Table 2 reflects modeled examples of the increase for UPS Ground products.
Table 2
 
 
UPS Ground Fuel Surcharges
If fuel is 2014 2015 Difference
$2.91 5.00% 5.50% 0.50%
$3.06 5.50% 5.75% 0.25%
$3.21 5.50% 6.00% 0.50%
$3.36 6.00% 6.25% 0.25%
$3.51 6.50% 6.75% 0.25%
$3.66 6.50% 7.00% 0.50%
$3.81 7.00% 7.25% 0.25%
$3.96 7.50% 7.50% 0.00%
$4.11 7.50% 8.00% 0.50%
$4.26 8.00% 8.25% 0.25%

In late December, FedEx announced that the company would revise its fuel surcharge tables effective Feb 2, 2015.  At least they had the courtesy to announce the change and give shippers 30 days' notice.
Because UPS fuel surcharges have been higher than FedEx's since November 2012, while still a money grab, it was somewhat justifiable for FedEx to bring its fuel surcharges in line with its primary competitor.  But just as soon as FedEx made its announcement, UPS saw an opportunity to hike up their fuel surcharges as well.
Having been in the parcel business for the past 25 years, UPS's latest action tells me that the company feels that having slightly higher fuel surcharges than FedEx has notbeen a competitive disadvantage over the past two years, and frankly, the reward outweighs the risk.  After all, half a point on $40B (estimated 2014 U.S. Domestic & International Package revenue) is $200 million incremental revenue with zero added operational costs.
With this latest tinkering of the fuel surcharge tables, how do the carriers compare?  FedEx continues to maintain an advantage over UPS (see Table 3 below).
Table 3
 
 
Air/Express and International Products
If fuel is FedEx UPS Difference Advantage
$1.95 4.50% 5.75% 1.25% FedEx
$2.03 5.00% 6.25% 1.25% FedEx
$2.10 5.50% 6.50% 1.00% FedEx
$2.18 6.00% 7.00% 1.00% FedEx
$2.25 6.50% 7.25% 0.75% FedEx
$2.33 7.00% 7.50% 0.50% FedEx
Ground Products
If fuel is FedEx UPS Difference Advantage
$2.91 4.50% 5.50% 1.00% FedEx
$3.06 5.00% 5.75% 0.75% FedEx
$3.21 5.50% 6.00% 0.50% FedEx
$3.36 5.50% 6.25% 0.75% FedEx
$3.51 6.00% 6.75% 0.75% FedEx
$3.66 6.50% 7.00% 0.50% FedEx
$3.81 7.00% 7.25% 0.25% FedEx
$3.96 7.50% 7.50% 0.00% N/A
$4.11 8.00% 8.00% 0.00% N/A
$4.26 8.00% 8.25% 0.25% FedEx


Shippers should also be aware that UPS applies fuel surcharges — in addition to package cost — to several surcharges as follows: 
Ground fuel surcharges also apply to Pickup Charges, Return Services Charges, International Extended Area Charges, Delivery Area Charges, Residential Surcharges, and Large Package Surcharges. 
The Air and International Fuel Surcharge also applies to Pickup Charges, Return Services Charges, UPS Next Day Air Early A.M./UPS Express Plus Charges, International Extended Area Charges, Delivery Charges, Residential Delivery Charges, Saturday Delivery and Pickup, Large Package Surcharge, and Oversize Pallet Handling Surcharge.
The new UPS fuel surcharge tables are available for viewing athttp://www.ups.com/content/us/en/shipping/cost/zones/fuel_surcharge.html?srch_pos=1&srch_phr=fuel+surcharge.

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